2025-12-12 12:31:10

#数字资产生态回暖 BTC Recent Market Trend Observation

Bitcoin has performed quite well in the past 10 hours, rising by 2.65% from $90,032 to $92,418. This momentum is worth paying attention to.

**Points Worth Noticing**

First is regulation — the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has withdrawn outdated guidelines, which is a positive signal for Bitcoin and the entire crypto ecosystem, potentially leading to a more transparent regulatory environment.

Second, institutional interest is heating up. Fintech giants like Klarna plan to integrate Bitcoin and crypto wallet features, and the "Save the Children" organization has launched a Bitcoin fund. These developments indicate that traditional finance is gradually increasing its acceptance of Bitcoin.

Liquidity also provides support. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates and injected $13.5 billion into the banking system, some of which may flow into risk assets like Bitcoin, offering market support.

**But Don’t Get Too Optimistic**

Macroeconomic uncertainties still exist. The Fed's statements on the pace of rate cuts remain somewhat vague, and market sentiment is cautious, which could limit the enthusiasm for chasing $BTC.

Additionally, many see Bitcoin now as an over-crowded trading position. The stories around ETFs and halving have become somewhat outdated. Without new practical use cases driving demand, institutional capital's future attractiveness might be limited.

Another detail — short-term Bitcoin holders are currently in a loss position. Historically, once prices rebound, they tend to sell to cut losses, which could add downward pressure to the upward trend.

**Overall Atmosphere**

Community sentiment is quite divided. Most feel the market rhythm is somewhat unpredictable. While some are optimistic about Bitcoin’s strong comeback, the overall mood remains cautious.

The movements of $ETH and $BTC other mainstream coins are worth continuous monitoring.

BTC-0.12%

ETH0.72%

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staking_gramps

· 8h ago

It's the same story again, institutions come in, regulations ease, liquidity returns, and it's always said like this🤷 Short-term holders who are in loss still sell off, and how far this rebound can go is really hard to say. Whether this wave can break through 92,500 is a hurdle; if it drops below 90,000, I will admit defeat.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 12-12 13:01

Short-term rebounds are nothing to get excited about, it's the same old story. Lowering expectations a bit is more stable. Klarna integrating with Bitcoin? Sure, that's just storytelling, but where's the real traffic? Sell orders at over 90,000 are waiting, don't get caught being cut. Short-term holders are in a loss state, they run at the first rebound; the rhythm is too poor. Easing regulation is a good sign, but the Fed's rhetoric is still quite vague, it's exhausting. Is institutional recognition improving? I think it's more of a hype. The community is divided sharply, indicating that no one truly understands this wave of market movements. Another round of rate cut hype, liquidity is coming in but doesn't necessarily flow entirely into the crypto space. History repeats itself, I've seen this kind of rebound too many times.

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CryptoPunster

· 12-12 13:01

Smiling as I watch short-term holders' stop-loss orders, I am reminded of my own account balance. BTC has risen again, but I didn't get on the train. This is my expertise. Is a friendly regulatory environment enough to reach the sky? I've heard many stories, but I trust the green line in the chart more. The $13.5 billion in liquidity ultimately flowed into the pockets of futures traders, while the retail investors keep going. Klarna integrates Bitcoin, and my account is also experiencing "integration" with losses. Institutional entry = retail investors get on the train = institutions offload, this cycle has never stopped. When short-term holders' losses hit bottom, it's the night before a rise. Fine, I believe it again. Can this wave of gains last until the weekend? I bet five bucks there will be a black swan.

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StablecoinAnxiety

· 12-12 13:00

Still talking about the rebound, it feels like every time it's said, and then it gets trapped. Klarna integrating Bitcoin? Okay, let's see how many people will really get it. Short-term holders are losing and have to sell, which is really uncomfortable. Who doesn't want to buy at the bottom? Regulatory transparency is a good thing, but the Fed's words are still just talking. When will they actually cut interest rates? The institution FOMO in this wave doesn't seem to last long. $13.5 billion is not a bargain. It feels like buying Bitcoin now is like betting on the Fed's mood; it's too mystical. Honestly, this wave of gains doesn't show any clear trend. Let's just consider it a rebound.

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HodlAndChill

· 12-12 13:00

Is this the same narrative again? Just a 2.65% increase and it’s “worth paying attention to,” really? Short-term holders are all losing money; they sell on rebounds. Isn’t that just shooting yourself in the foot? Laughable. Regulatory positive news, institutional entry, ample liquidity... sounds great, but we've heard this story a hundred times. Where’s the freshness? But on the other hand, with $13.5 billion pouring in, it has to flow somewhere. Maybe BTC can benefit a bit. Overcrowded positions don’t talk about breakthroughs, unless there’s something new. Otherwise, it’s just a repeated grind. Community division is the norm. It’s always like this. Being cautious is not wrong.

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MrDecoder

· 12-12 12:52

The institutional buy-in signal is so obvious, what are you still hesitating for? What does Klarna's integration with Bitcoin indicate? Traditional finance is starting to take it seriously. Short-term holders' losses will cause selling pressure, that's not news anymore. The key is how big institutions will respond. Has 129 been broken? Only when it's broken will I dare to chase. How has ETH been lately? Is anyone paying attention or is everyone still focused on BTC? Regulatory transparency is a good thing, but don't rely too much on the Federal Reserve; their statements often sound like they haven't said anything at all. Why does it feel like this rebound lacks some momentum? Or am I overthinking it?

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CryingOldWallet

· 12-12 12:36

Regulatory friendly + institutional entry, this wave is indeed a bit different. But those who are trapped in the short term will have to sell off, and pressure will return. --- Klarna takes Bitcoin? Is this trying to bottom out or is it really optimistic? I'm a bit confused. --- It's that story of rate cuts again. When will the Federal Reserve really take action? Anyway, I'm still waiting. --- Short-term holders selling under loss pressure, this detail hits the point, should have said it earlier. --- Community division is normal. Anyway, I neither hold full positions nor are I completely out, just watching the show first. --- A 2.65% increase and you're so excited? Come on, whether it rebounds or not depends on macro factors. --- Institutions are boiling the frog slowly, while we keep getting slapped repeatedly. The perspectives are different. --- Honestly, the ETF and halving stories are really outdated. Now we’re just waiting for something new to save the scene. --- At around $90,000, I’m neutral in the short term. Don’t be led by emotions. --- CFTC withdraws guidance, sounds good, but friendly rules ≠ price increase, don’t confuse the two.

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