Tonight's main event is coming—The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting.
Rate cut? That's basically a no-brainer; the market has already priced it in. What really matters is the follow-up moves: how will the interest rate path develop, and what signals will the policymakers send?
Some say there's a "25 basis point downward trend line," but that's not the key point. The focus is on whether the Fed will soften its language in the upcoming statements. Some traders are already fantasizing about dovish wording and even hoping for a more easing environment—but to be honest, such expectations might be a bit wishful.
What the market is really waiting for are two things: the dot plot and Powell's press conference. These two directly determine the policy tone for the coming months and will influence medium- and long-term trends. Coins like SOL, XRP, and BNB are likely to experience short-term volatility.
But again, what Powell says tonight may not set the tone for long. The FOMC will soon have a new chair, and a bunch of officials will be speaking in the coming weeks, so the policy direction can change at any time.
The crypto market is likely to be volatile in the next few days, so strategize flexibly and avoid stubbornly sticking to one view. For now, let's just watch the show tonight.
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MEV_Whisperer
· 12-13 01:39
If Powell continues to be hawkish tonight, I think the crypto market will break through the bottom tomorrow.
The dot plot is the real game-changer; don't be fooled by his bluster.
SOL is just waiting for the outcome of this meeting to eat up, short-term might be a wipeout.
Instead of guessing whether it's dovish or hawkish, it's better to run first; the officials' speeches in these weeks are the real trap.
Interest rate cuts have been decided long ago; the question is whether there will be further cuts, and that's what can crush the bullish dreams.
What Powell says won't decide much; a change in FOMC personnel is the real shock, so let's just watch the show quietly.
Don't be too optimistic; this market wave is probably going to first suppress and then rise again, staying flexible is never wrong.
Once the dot plot is out, you'll see the true intention; whether to turn the tide or keep lying low.
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fren.eth
· 12-12 23:41
The dot plot is the real thing, Powell's usual rhetoric is getting old.
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If SOL tanks again, I'll buy the dip. Not convinced the dovish stance can be more dovish.
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Wait, FOMC is changing its leadership? What does that mean, are policies going to flip again?
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Ha, some people are still expecting dovishness, I just want to laugh. In this environment, loosening policy? Dream on.
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Flexible strategy +1, sticking to one approach makes you a leek (easy target).
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If XRP gets hammered again this wave, I’ll stop watching the market altogether, it’s too torturous.
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Whether Powell talks or not doesn’t really matter; the key is what those officials will say next.
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Tonight is just a show, tomorrow is a loss. I’m familiar with this routine.
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If the dot plot still shows hawkish after release, the market will split apart.
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The rate cut was priced in long ago; now it’s about betting on the subsequent policy path.
View OriginalReply0
fork_in_the_road
· 12-12 05:08
Powell, whatever this guy says, I listen, but the coin price won't follow
As soon as the candlestick chart appears, you immediately know who is making profits and who is losing money. Stay calm and hold your position
It's going to start swinging left and right again. These days, there will definitely be bloodshed
Rather than guessing whether it's dovish or hawkish, it's better to look at the trading volume to tell the truth
Waiting to be taught a lesson by Powell, this is just destiny
View OriginalReply0
RuntimeError
· 12-10 12:54
Can Powell really save the crypto world? I remain skeptical.
The point chart is the king, everything else is虚假的
I have to stay up and watch the live stream again, just let me die exhausted
SOL this wave is probably going to be harvested again, history repeats itself
Instead of hoping for a loosening, it's better to be prepared for being proven wrong
Do you really think one sentence tonight can turn the situation around? Overthinking it
Flexible strategies are easy to say, but who can really do it?
This wave will probably cause several liquidations again, damn it, I need to give up
The moment the point chart appears, everything is the truth
View OriginalReply0
BTCRetirementFund
· 12-10 12:48
If Powell continues to play the hawk, I’m afraid our coin will plunge tonight.
25 basis points? Ha, the market has already reacted, it all depends on how the dot plot is drawn.
Sticking stubbornly to one direction is suicidal; flexibility is the key.
If this wave still uses dovish language, SOL and XRP will really take off.
By the way, there are still variables in the FOMC leadership change, don’t be too optimistic.
Tonight is just for watching the show; the big picture will be clear tomorrow.
View OriginalReply0
ConsensusDissenter
· 12-10 12:47
Powell opens his mouth, and my positions start to shake. I can't go on like this.
View OriginalReply0
VitalikFanAccount
· 12-10 12:36
If Powell still plays hawkish tonight, let's just wait to get cut...
In practice, the dot plot is often more valuable than rhetoric; I've seen this pattern too many times.
If SOL doesn't fall along with the market these past two days, I'm a bit surprised.
Don't be fooled by the words "loose" or "dovish"; the Federal Reserve folks are best at dangling expectations.
Tonight's performance won't be complete until the press conference; the dot plot has already been priced in advance.
Rather than guessing whether it's dovish or hawkish, it's better to see what the officials have recently said; history tends to repeat itself.
Speaking of the FOMC changing personnel, we should pay attention to the stance of the new members, as that's the key to the next wave.
Stay steady and don't move; wait until Powell speaks. Chasing the high now is suicide.
View OriginalReply0
Liquidated_Larry
· 12-10 12:27
If Powell keeps beating around the bush tonight, I'll just sell XRP directly, really.
Tonight's main event is coming—The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting.
Rate cut? That's basically a no-brainer; the market has already priced it in. What really matters is the follow-up moves: how will the interest rate path develop, and what signals will the policymakers send?
Some say there's a "25 basis point downward trend line," but that's not the key point. The focus is on whether the Fed will soften its language in the upcoming statements. Some traders are already fantasizing about dovish wording and even hoping for a more easing environment—but to be honest, such expectations might be a bit wishful.
What the market is really waiting for are two things: the dot plot and Powell's press conference. These two directly determine the policy tone for the coming months and will influence medium- and long-term trends. Coins like SOL, XRP, and BNB are likely to experience short-term volatility.
But again, what Powell says tonight may not set the tone for long. The FOMC will soon have a new chair, and a bunch of officials will be speaking in the coming weeks, so the policy direction can change at any time.
The crypto market is likely to be volatile in the next few days, so strategize flexibly and avoid stubbornly sticking to one view. For now, let's just watch the show tonight.