🧐The encryption panic index has suddenly dropped to 15 | What does the market sentiment officially entering the "extreme fear" zone indicate——

In the past 24 hours, it has dropped from 24 to 15, with a cliff-like decline in sentiment;

A week ago it was 27 (fear), a month ago it was even around 38 (neutral). Today the government opened up, and the sentiment has directly entered extreme panic.

The current state is typical:
The price hasn't crashed yet, but the sentiment has already collapsed.

The aftershocks of the 1011 crash have not dissipated, market liquidity is insufficient, uncertainty around interest rate cuts is increasing, there are more bearish factors than bullish ones, and many people are starting to call for the arrival of a bear market, which should be the main reason for the emotional collapse.

To be honest, there haven't been many times in history when it dropped to 15!

The historical performance of Fear & Greed falling into the 10–20 range.

1️⃣Let ChatGPT summarize the situation where the index has dropped to the range of 10–20 in the past few years, you can take a look:

End of 2018 (Bitcoin $3,200) → Medium to long-term bottom
March 2020 (Pandemic Crash) → Excellent Buying Point
July 2021 (China's mining ban / BTC 29,000) → reversal bottom
June 2022 (Luna crash) → Rebound point, but not the final bottom
November 2022 (FTX Collapse) → BTC 15,500 true bottom
March 2023 (Banking Crisis) → BTC 19,000 → Quick V Rebound
2025 Today: Index = 15

2️⃣Let ChatGPT make some inferences based on the previous data:

When Fear & Greed is in the 10–20 range,

Probability of price increase in the next 1-3 months: ≈ 75%
Probability of increase in the next 6–12 months: ≈ 88%

But in the short term (next 1-2 weeks):
Continue to explore below, the probability is still 30–40%.