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November 1, 2025, a new month and a new beginning. 9:54 AM Summary of last month and outlook for this month's market!
In October, during the golden autumn, the market experienced severe fluctuations, including the historic crash on October 11. However, our trades in October were basically all a complete success! Anyone who followed the live broadcasts and strictly executed the strategies knows this!
October has passed, looking forward to this month:
①Firstly, the non-farm payroll data, the small non-farm payroll data continues to show negative values that superficially indicate a lack of optimism in employment. The large non-farm payroll data cannot be released due to the U.S. government shutdown, and the October large non-farm payroll data cannot be published either after the September data! This is not a good signal!
The expected value for the Bank of England's interest rate decision on the 6th is to maintain the rate at 4% without any changes! The impact is minimal.
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December is currently only 50%.
The monthly K-line has completed its closing. Except for BTC, most altcoins have experienced two or even three consecutive declines, and the market trend is not optimistic. It resembles repeated fluctuations at high levels. Currently, the last barrier in the right shoulder area of the head and shoulders pattern is crucial; breaking it would open up new downward space. If the right shoulder maintains a sideways trend instead of a decline, it is also possible that we may see a follow-up surge similar to the Christmas and Spring Festival markets. Personally, I suggest that a significant washout occurs if the right shoulder is broken. Such a high-level stagnation lasting 3-4 months typically requires a sharp drop for a redistribution!
So we still need to be cautious this month. I currently have no altcoins in hand, but I have not stopped dollar-cost averaging into BTC/ETH/platform tokens because I have been doing it for 3 years. There is no reason to stop now. Altcoins will only play short-term profits and cannot hold for the long term. Currently, I am mainly focusing on swing contracts during the day, but I will immediately reduce positions and implement protective strategies when there is space to do so. This way, I can steadily accumulate!
BTC resistance and support levels 115878/113833/110000/107211/104500/102400
ETH resistance levels 4236/4100/3917/3719/3605/3400
SOL resistance levels 210/195.4/180/171.8/142.5
Patience is required; if there is a continuous pullback over the weekend, the probability of a rebound in the evening is very high. The BTC/ETH strategy from yesterday can continue to be executed until Monday evening. If it touches once, it must be acted upon; for the second time, look for signals to act!
Low liquidity over the weekend reduces profit expectations, which is actually more stable than big fluctuations during the week. So if you have time on the weekend, you can study and review the knowledge points that Brother Sao usually talks about, take notes, backtest, practice with small positions, and continuously review the price movements from various liquid markets to see where there are buying and selling points. Try trading with light positions to cultivate your own trading system! $BTC
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