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The EUR/GBP dance continues. Economic winds blow differently across the Channel. October 2025 sees the pair hovering around 0.8650. The euro's taking a breather against the pound.
Eurozone's retail scene? Not great. Sales dipped 0.5% in July. Yearly growth? A measly 2.2%. Kinda worrying for consumer spending. The UK? It's a mixed bag. Some resilience, some struggles.
ECB's playing it cool. Rates might stay put through 2025. Inflation's still a thing. But the Bank of England? They're itching to ease up. Bailey's hinting at more cuts.
This policy split? It's giving the pound a bit of an edge. But UK's fiscal picture is murky. It's holding sterling back. November's budget reveal will be interesting.
Eyes are on Q2 GDP for Europe and UK retail numbers. Might shake things up. The EUR/GBP pair? Expect some zigzags.
Chart watchers, take note. 0.8600 looks like a floor. Ceiling? Maybe 0.8700. Trend seems up for now. But if it breaks down? Could get messy.
It's not entirely clear where this is headed. Markets are on their toes, watching every move on both sides. Seems like we're in for a bumpy ride.