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 Trading Strategy for April 29, 2025
Market Overview
As of today, Ethereum's price stands at $1,796.95, with a 24-hour range of $1,742 to $1,828. Based on EMA indicators and the volume-price structure, this strategy outlines actionable trading opportunities.
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Core Strategy and Key Levels
1. Momentum Breakout Strategy
Entry Trigger:
Enter when ETH stabilizes above $1,810 (aligned with the EMA10 resistance level) and confirms this breakout with a 1-hour close and rising trading volume.
Profit Target:
Initially aim for $1,828–$1,850 (a strong resistance zone). On a continued rally, look toward $1,880.
Stop-Loss:
Adjust stop-loss dynamically to stay below $1,790 (EMA30 support) as the trade progresses.
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2. Support Rebound Strategy
Entry Trigger:
Buy during a retracement to the $1,760–$1,780 zone, where strong daily support converges with EMA30. Look for additional signals such as a 1-hour RSI below 30 or bullish divergence.
Profit Target:
Take profits in stages at $1,800–$1,810, particularly if ETH breaks through this zone.
Stop-Loss:
Set a strict stop-loss below $1,750, with a maximum risk tolerance of 3%.
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3. Resistance-Based Short Selling
Entry Trigger:
Initiate short positions if ETH rebounds to $1,820–$1,828 but fails to break through. Watch for resistance from EMA5, long upper shadows on candles, or a 1-hour KDJ death cross.
Profit Target:
Target a pullback to $1,790–$1,800 (EMA10 support). If this level breaks, consider a deeper move toward $1,760.
Stop-Loss:
Limit risk by setting the stop-loss above $1,835 to avoid being caught in a false breakout.
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Additional Notes
Volume and On-Chain Considerations
Current trading volume: 2.939 billion USDT, indicating active market conditions.
Be cautious of a bull trap if ETH attempts to surpass $1,828 without sufficient volume.
On-chain risks include a potential liquidation event (~$280M) if ETH dips below $1,760.
Position Management
Total Exposure: Keep total positions at ≤50% of your portfolio, with leverage capped at 3x during high volatility.
Stop-Loss Discipline: Always honor the stop-loss, particularly below $1,750, or if Bitcoin drops under $93,000.
Dip Buying Plan: If ETH sharply declines to $1,740 (near the 24-hour low), consider using 20% of your funds for staggered buying opportunities.
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Summary
Ethereum is trading within a $1,760–$1,828 range. Focus on breakout opportunities above $1,810 for potential long trades, while short positions are favorable near $1,828 if resistance holds. Monitor the $1,790–$1,810 convergence zone of EMA indicators closely for directional cues, and maintain strict risk management to avoid impulsive decisions.
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