Today marks day 634 of my daily posts, without a single interruption. Each piece is not done carelessly, but prepared seriously. [微笑] If you think I'm a conscientious person, you're welcome to follow along, and I hope the daily content can be helpful to you. The world is vast, and I am small, so please hit follow so it's easy to find me. [微笑][微笑]
This week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision meeting actually has no real suspense — no rate cut is basically a done deal. But the key point is that this meeting is likely to be an important turning point this year, because inflation is showing signs of picking up again. Simply put, three key points: First, interest rates will most likely remain on hold; Second, economic expectations may be downgraded, but inflation expectations will be revised upward, and internal disagreements on the rate-cutting path will also increase, which itself is pressure on the market; Third, Powell is most likely not to "turn dovish," and may instead be more hawkish than market expectations. Whether rates are cut or not is not important; what matters is whether it's "more hawkish" or "more dovish." This week we need to focus on watching volatility — the market is unlikely to be calm.
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Today marks day 634 of my daily posts, without a single interruption. Each piece is not done carelessly, but prepared seriously. [微笑] If you think I'm a conscientious person, you're welcome to follow along, and I hope the daily content can be helpful to you. The world is vast, and I am small, so please hit follow so it's easy to find me. [微笑][微笑]
This week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision meeting actually has no real suspense — no rate cut is basically a done deal. But the key point is that this meeting is likely to be an important turning point this year, because inflation is showing signs of picking up again.
Simply put, three key points:
First, interest rates will most likely remain on hold;
Second, economic expectations may be downgraded, but inflation expectations will be revised upward, and internal disagreements on the rate-cutting path will also increase, which itself is pressure on the market;
Third, Powell is most likely not to "turn dovish," and may instead be more hawkish than market expectations.
Whether rates are cut or not is not important; what matters is whether it's "more hawkish" or "more dovish."
This week we need to focus on watching volatility — the market is unlikely to be calm.