The current market is bearish, prioritize short positions, enter around 2003, stop loss at 2020, first take profit near 1980, second take profit near 1950; if it effectively breaks below 1950, add to short positions, stop loss at 1965, target around 1900.
Market Analysis
Weekly moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with prices trading below the moving averages. MACD shows increasing green bars, while KDJ and RSI are hovering at low levels. The medium-term bearish trend is clear, with a weak rebound expected after oversold conditions.
Daily moving averages continue to press downward, MACD green bars are shrinking but still negative, KDJ and RSI are slightly rebounding. Short-term rebound strength is limited, with key support at around 1740.
Four-hour chart shows price oscillating downward, constrained by moving averages. MACD shows weak red bars, KDJ is near overbought, rebound momentum is insufficient, and after a weak bounce, the price is expected to continue downward.
One-hour chart indicates intense battle between bulls and bears, MACD red bars are shrinking, KDJ is turning down from high levels, RSI is falling, short-term rebound momentum is exhausted, and the price is about to test support near 1980.
Fifteen-minute chart shows a rebound followed by a decline, MACD red bars are shrinking, KDJ shows a death cross, bulls are losing strength, and the price will continue to test support around 1990.
The trend initially weakly rebounds to around 2010-2020, then quickly drops. After breaking below 2000, it tests support at 1980 and 1950 sequentially. If 1950 is broken, the target is around 1900.
The optimal current strategy is to short on rallies, enter around 2003, stop loss at 2020, take profit first near 1980, then near 1950; if it breaks below 1950, add to short positions, stop loss at 1965, target around 1900. If it breaks above 2020 and stabilizes, adjust the strategy accordingly.
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