Well-known analyst Tom Lee recently shared his views on the 2026 market. He believes the broad rally at the beginning of the new year (stocks, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies all strengthening across the board) is a good signal, and healthy market breadth typically signals solid subsequent performance.
However, this year will be quite “dramatic” — first joy, then sorrow, then rebound. He admits that at some point mid-year, the market will make people feel like they’ve entered a bear market, and that sense of panic will feel very real. But here’s the key: this is not the end, but an opportunity. A strong rebound will follow, and the stock market will ultimately end the year with gains.
In terms of specific figures, he predicts the S&P 500 could reach 7700 by the end of 2026. However, before that, especially when the market “tests” the new Fed Chair, there could be a 15%-20% correction. The second half carries relatively higher risks, but these adjustments are essentially opportunities for positioning, not the end of the cycle. In other words, declines are entry signals.
2026年市場はどのように展開されるのか？アナリストはS&P 500が7700ポイントに突き進むことを予測
【Block Rhythm】
Well-known analyst Tom Lee recently shared his views on the 2026 market. He believes the broad rally at the beginning of the new year (stocks, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies all strengthening across the board) is a good signal, and healthy market breadth typically signals solid subsequent performance.
However, this year will be quite “dramatic” — first joy, then sorrow, then rebound. He admits that at some point mid-year, the market will make people feel like they’ve entered a bear market, and that sense of panic will feel very real. But here’s the key: this is not the end, but an opportunity. A strong rebound will follow, and the stock market will ultimately end the year with gains.
In terms of specific figures, he predicts the S&P 500 could reach 7700 by the end of 2026. However, before that, especially when the market “tests” the new Fed Chair, there could be a 15%-20% correction. The second half carries relatively higher risks, but these adjustments are essentially opportunities for positioning, not the end of the cycle. In other words, declines are entry signals.
7700ポイント立てるのは見えるが、その間の20%調整をどうやって生き残るか、それが本当の実力だ
FRBの関門は無事に通過できるのか、疑問符だ
7700点？等着瞧吧，美联储一出手就知道有没有
年中熊市改机会，真典型的事后诸葛亮论调啊
15-20%調整は"レイアウト"、それなら私はとっくに破産してるわ
Tom Leeのこの口、私の財布よりも人を騙せる
下半年の暴落にも冷静にポジション構築？簡単に言うなよ、本当に下がってきたら誰だって焦るだろ
先に喜んで、その後悲しんで、また反発する、これは去年も同じシナリオだった。今回は本当のチャンスなのか、それともまた投資家が養分にされるだけなのか知りたいんだ
ところで、FRB議長が市場を「試す」と市場が叩かれるってことか。そんなに言うなら、俺たちはもう慣れるべきだろう
7700ポイントに本当に到達できたら、祝うべきだろうけど、その前に慎重でいるのが現実的だ
ただ正直に言うと、全面的に強気で始まったのは悪くない、少なくともベアマーケットの兆候はないし、今後どうなるか見ものだな
It's the same old talk about adjustment opportunities, basically just waiting to harvest the retail investors, right?
7700? That seems a bit conservative, honestly. We in the crypto space have already gotten used to much bigger numbers.