Latest Analysis of TRX Price: September's Latest Market Trends and Future Predictions

TRX (TRON) as one of the top ten Crypto Assets by market capitalization globally has continuously attracted market follow in recent years due to its applications in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and stablecoin transfers. As of early September 2025, the price of TRX on Gate remained around $0.34, showing slight Fluctuation compared to the previous week.

Despite facing some technical adjustment pressures in the short term, the latest developments in the TRON ecosystem and its advances in cross-border payment solutions continue to support the long-term value of TRX.

TRX Current Market Price Performance

As of September 5, 2025, the price of TRX on the Gate exchange is $0.3449, having slightly decreased by 0.14% in the past 24 hours. Overall, the recent trading performance of TRX shows the following characteristics:

  • Price Stability: TRX price has basically held steady at the 0.34 dollar mark. The daily trading fluctuation ranged between 0.3426 and 0.3499 dollars, indicating a relatively robust trend.
  • Trading Activity: The 24-hour trading volume of TRX reached 1.28 billion USD, indicating that its market attention and liquidity remain high.
  • Market Capitalization and Ranking: Currently, the market capitalization of TRX is between 26.4 billion USD and 33.9 billion USD, accounting for about 0.5% of the global Crypto Assets market capitalization, consistently ranking in the top 12.

Technical Analysis and Indicator Interpretation

From a technical analysis perspective, TRX is currently at a critical technical decision point.

  • Moving Average Signals: Most moving averages have issued sell signals. The current price of TRX is below the 20-day ($0.3463), 50-day ($0.3479), 100-day ($0.3493), and 200-day ($0.3544) simple moving averages, indicating that the medium to short-term trend is under pressure.
  • Key Technical Indicators:
    • RSI (14): The current reading is 43.222, which is in the neutral to weak zone, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold, but has a downward tendency.
    • MACD (12,26): The value is -0.001, indicating a sell signal, suggesting that short-term momentum may weaken.
    • Bollinger Bands: TRX price is close to the lower Bollinger Band ($0.33), with a %B value of 0.1263, indicating a possible oversold condition, which can sometimes signal a price rebound.
  • Key support and resistance levels:
    • Immediate support level: $0.33 (a level tested and held multiple times recently).
    • Strong support level: $0.30 (deeper retracement level).
    • Immediate resistance level: $0.345 (upper boundary of the descending channel and recent high).
    • Key resistance level: $0.37 (52-week high and the area of the upper Bollinger Band).

Key Factors Affecting TRX Price

The price fluctuation of TRX is influenced by a combination of various fundamental factors.

  1. Reduced Network Fees: By the end of August 2025, the TRON network passed Proposal No. 789, successfully reducing network transaction fees by 60%. This initiative aims to attract more users and increase stablecoin trading volume, and the results are already evident: the number of active addresses on the TRON network has reached a historical record of 2.5 million, with a 40% increase in trading volume.
  2. Stablecoin Market Competition: The trading volume of TRC20-USDT supported by TRX accounts for 18% of the global stablecoin transfer market, but its market share is challenged by competitors such as Ethereum and Solana that are making strides in the cross-border payment space.
  3. Ecosystem Development Status: Although the daily transaction volume on the TRON chain reaches 8 million transactions, the activity level of decentralized applications (DApp) has decreased by 15% compared to 2023, partly due to the lack of groundbreaking innovative applications. The stagnation of ecosystem activity has somewhat affected investors' follow on TRX.
  4. Macroeconomic Market Environment: Historical data shows that there is a correlation between TRX price and changes in market liquidity (correlation approximately 0.65). The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve may begin a rate cut cycle in the second half of 2025, which, if realized, could bring new liquidity support to the entire cryptocurrency market including TRX.

TRX Price Prediction and Future Outlook

Based on the current technical and fundamental situation, there are various predictions for the future price trend of TRX in the market.

  • Short-term outlook (one week to one month): It is expected that TRX may fluctuate within the range of 0.3305 to 0.3476 USD. If it can effectively break through the resistance level of 0.3517 USD, the probability of a rebound is relatively high (over 80%). Otherwise, if it falls below the support level of 0.3356 USD, it may further test the support at 0.33 and even 0.30 USD.
  • Medium to long-term outlook (up to 2026): Based on historical data model (R² = 0.69), the price of TRX may fluctuate between 0.11 USD and 0.15 USD in 2026. In an optimistic scenario, if TRON can successfully implement large-scale e-commerce payment scenarios and deepen penetration into emerging markets, the price is expected to break through 0.16 USD. Some analyses have also provided longer-term forecasts, for example, by 2030, the price of TRX may reach 23.26 USD.

Risks and Opportunities of Investing in TRX

Any investment requires weighing risks against rewards.

  • Main Risks:

    • Technical outlook is weak: multiple technical indicators show a short-term bearish trend, and we need to be cautious of downward risks.
    • Ecological innovation pressure: If the activity level of the DApp ecosystem cannot be effectively improved, it may affect the long-term attractiveness of TRX.
    • Regulatory uncertainty: Global regulatory policies regarding Crypto Assets and stablecoins are still evolving, making it an external variable that requires ongoing attention.
  • Potential Opportunities:

    • Cost advantage: After the significant reduction of network fees, it may further consolidate its advantage in the low-cost stablecoin transfer field, attracting more users and applications.
    • Possibility of a rebound from overselling: The current price is close to the lower Bollinger Band, and the RSI has not entered the extreme oversold zone. If market sentiment improves, there is a chance for a technical rebound.
    • Long-term ecological construction: The cooperation between TRON and sovereign nations (such as Dominica) in blockchain infrastructure, as well as its layout in the decentralized stablecoin USDD, lays the foundation for its long-term development.

Future Outlook

Observing the price trend of TRX, the support level at 0.33 USD and the resistance level at 0.345 USD are key in the recent period. If it can stabilize above 0.345 USD, there is a short-term expectation to test higher resistance; conversely, if it falls below 0.33 USD, it may face a deeper correction.

In the long run, the value realization of TRX will depend on the global adoption of its payment solutions, the activity level of developers in the ecosystem, and the integration efficiency with traditional financial infrastructure. For investors, it is equally important to closely follow the changes in technical levels and fundamental news in the highly volatile crypto assets market.

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