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$BTC Just Crossed Its Typical Red-Day Count.
Bitcoin usually logs around 170 negative days per year—and 2025 has already delivered 171.
We’ve officially reached the lower limit of its historical downside range, which naturally raises the big question: what comes next?
Is a bounce on the horizon, or are we gearing up for a longer consolidation phase?
BTC-0.96%
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In the early hours of this Thursday, it is not the rate cut itself that will determine the direction of risk assets.

This Thursday (Beijing time), the Federal Reserve will announce its final interest rate decision of the year. Market expectations are very consistent:
According to CME FedWatch data, there is over an 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
If it happens, this will be the third consecutive rate cut since September, bringing the federal funds rate down to the 3.5%-3.75% range.
For crypto investors accustomed to the narrative of "rate cuts = bullish," this sounds like good news.
But the problem is, when everyone expects a rate cut, the cut itself is no longer a driving factor for the market.
Financial markets are expectation machines. Prices reflect not "what happened," but "what happened relative to expectations."
An 85% probability means the rate cut has already been fully priced in; when it is officially announced early Thursday morning, unless there is a surprise, the market is unlikely to react much.
So what is the real variable?
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Repanzalvip:
HODL Tight 💪
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📊 Latest updates on the main market coins. This is an analysis from a crypto enthusiast, based solely on my personal observations.
Overview of the cryptocurrency market: November 29 - December 6, 2025.
The market spent the week in a state of volatility: sharp movements, quick rebounds, and a lot of caution among traders. I even notice it in myself—I’m not rushing in, just watching for now. Bitcoin is setting the tone for the market with its overall movement, while altcoins are searching for support levels after the drop.
🟧 BTC. Bitcoin saw strong price fluctuations this week—from a steep dro
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SOL-3.87%
BNB-2.29%
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Moathalmahdivip:
انطلق بقوة 🚀
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BREAKING: China Cracks Down on RWA Tokenization & Stablecoins
RWA TOKEN WARNING
Seven major Chinese financial bodies, including PBoC & CSRC overseen associations, Warned:
🔹 RWA tokenization = high-risk (fake assets, business failures, speculation)
🔹 No official approval; lumped with stablecoins, meme coins, air coins
🔹 Overseas firms & domestic staff involved = legal liability
STABLECOIN ALERT
PBoC flags stablecoins:
🔹 Fail AML & KYC requirements
🔹 High risk of money laundering, fraud, illegal cross-border transfers
🔹 Enforcement likely vs USDT, USDC; domestic pilots paused
MARKET IMPACT
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THE CYCLE INVERSION
What if 2025 was the bear market and nobody noticed?
Consider the evidence.
Bitcoin broke its all-time high BEFORE the halving for the first time in history. This was not a bull market signal. This was the cycle inverting.
2024 was not the start of a new bull run. It was political repricing. A pro-crypto administration being priced in. Nothing more.
2025 has shown every characteristic of a bear market:
Bitcoin dominance at multi-year highs while altcoins bleed to death. Three and a half billion dollars in ETF outflows in a single month. A twenty-nine percent drawdown from O
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This bottom is really starting to fully form on Bitcoin.
OBV continues to show strength.
You can see the OBV chart is a lot cleaner than the price. It is both holding and moving stronger than the price...
Which shows us the buying is far stronger than the selling.
Strong close above $94k and I think we can be confident that the low is in.
However, this week has the makings of a very volatile one, with maybe a few surprises, so let's see how we go from here.
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The Fed suddenly "hits the brakes," and retail investors' "money-printing dream" in crypto collapses overnight!
Brothers, explosive news is here! Fed rate cut expectations have been slashed in half, and traders are now betting on less than 75 basis points of cuts by the end of 2026. This isn't an adjustment, it's a game-changer! For those retail investors waiting for the Fed to print money and dreaming of getting rich in a bull market, it's time to wake up—market sentiment has shifted sharply, even more thrilling than a crypto leverage wipeout!
Just think back a few months—everyone online was
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Can panic wallets stop a wrench? Why crypto’s next security debate is physical

On Dec. 1 in Val‑d’Oise, France, the father of a Dubai‑based crypto entrepreneur was kidnapped off the street; another entry in Jameson Lopp’s directory of 225‑plus verified physical attacks on digital asset holders.
The database Lopp, the chief security officer at Bitcoin wallet Casa, has
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