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The recent rally indeed followed the pattern of爆空单 (short squeeze), and once it was completed in one go, the momentum faded. Now we are in garbage time, with daily downward movements, which is really uncomfortable.
Let's first look at the performance of mainstream coins. BTC finally surged to 97,000, but no one was willing to buy in, and then things became awkward — it doesn't move when US stocks rise, but it actually pulls back when US stocks fall. This operation is a bit hard to understand. ETH followed suit as a laggard, despite continuous good news, but it seems most of it has already been digested. On the other hand, SOL on-chain activity has started to heat up, perhaps bringing some vitality to the main tokens.
The macro environment continues to exert pressure. Federal Reserve's Bostic stated that inflation still requires vigilance, and tightening policies are non-negotiable in the short term. However, BlackRock CEO poured cold water, saying there is no AI bubble at all, and that rate cuts are well justified. This is a signal worth pondering.
At the project level, CME announced plans to launch futures contracts for Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar. This news caused a short-term rally, but prices quickly fell back. Additionally, LIT has started listing on major exchanges, and Bitmine has continued to increase its holdings, recently buying 24,068 ETH worth over $80 million. Tom Lee revealed that Vitalik and Sam Altman will attend Bitmine's shareholder meeting, which is quite noteworthy.
It is worth noting that the X platform has begun to regulate the rewards mechanism for crypto creators, banning so-called "InfoFi" projects. Kaito also paused Yaps incentives and launched a new Studio distribution model. The market is adjusting, and the rules of the game for creators are changing.