2025-12-08 18:38:19

Wall Street heavyweight Bernstein, managing $800 billion in assets, just dropped a bombshell: the traditional 4-year Bitcoin cycle? Consider it history.

Their latest take? BTC has shifted into what they're calling an "elongated bull cycle." No more predictable pump-and-dump patterns every four years. We're talking about a fundamentally different beast now.

What's driving this shift? Institutional adoption, spot ETF inflows, and macro liquidity changes have reshaped how Bitcoin moves. The old playbook of halving-driven predictability might be getting rewritten in real-time.

Their stance is unambiguously bullish. When a firm of this caliber starts rethinking cycle theory, markets tend to listen. Whether you're a long-term holder or active trader, this perspective shift deserves attention.

BTC-1.11%

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rugpull_ptsd

· 11h ago

Nah, when Bernstein says this, it actually makes me a bit nervous... Every time big institutions start hyping things up, it's usually time to do the opposite, right? Wait, do they really understand cycles? Or do they just want retail investors to be the exit liquidity? The 4-year cycle is gone? Alright then, let's see what happens when they get proven wrong.

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LootboxPhobia

· 11h ago

The $80 billion giant is changing its tune? Feels like the crypto market cycle theory is about to get redefined again. --- Institutions finish buying the dip and then start talking about a "long cycle"—I'm way too familiar with this playbook. --- Wait, can ETF inflows really change Bitcoin's underlying logic? I still have some doubts. --- Just because Bernstein says the 4-year cycle is over, I should believe it? Let's look at the data first. --- Alright, alright, it's the same old "this time is different" narrative—let's just keep holding our coins. --- Sounds like they're trying to make retail FOMO, but the logic actually seems solid. --- People only dare to speak up after institutions set the tone. That's the information gap, bro. --- "Elongated bull cycle" just sounds like an excuse made up to get people to keep holding coins.

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OPsychology

· 11h ago

Bernstein says there’s no more 4-year cycle? Uh... this statement seems a little too timely. Retail investors are always the ones getting rekt, and this time it’s institutions telling the story? Whatever, it’s all just to accumulate more.

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MissedTheBoat

· 11h ago

Bernstein claims the four-year cycle is broken, but who really dares to bet this run can keep going? Institutions entering the market have definitely changed the game. Veteran traders are still waiting for a dip to buy, but meanwhile, institutions have already jumped into ETFs. Extending the bull market cycle? Sounds nice, but don’t be fooled—when it’s time to exit, you still have to exit. An $80 billion asset manager’s opinion carries weight, but the market is always unpredictable... that’s what makes it exciting. Institutions pouring in money have changed the prediction models. Now it’s just a matter of how many dips retail investors can catch. If the four-year cycle is dead, what are we waiting for? Bernstein’s argument is worth considering, but I’m more concerned about when the next black swan event will hit.

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