#加密市场行情震荡 #rsETH攻击事件后续进展 $BTC $ETH Don't blame the market maker for taking your money! ETH consolidation isn't a shakeout; you're rushing to give money to others. ETH has been consolidating for so long—are the market makers shaking me out? Why does it go up when I short, and go down when I go long? Are the market makers watching my little money? Let me tell you, it's not that the market makers are targeting you; you simply haven't understood the current market situation: what you think is a shakeout is actually large funds in the entire market waiting for the same news. If you rush to enter, you're just giving others your money. Are you also being whipped back and forth? I guess you've been doing this recently: Seeing a green candle on the 4-hour chart, rushing to short with leverage, only to see it rise after you enter Seeing a red candle on the daily chart, going all-in on the bottom, only to see it crash after you buy Blaming the market maker for targeting you, calling the market crazy, getting whipped back and forth—so you're just unlucky? Look at this data to understand: Figure 2 In the past week, 60% of retail traders opening longs lost money, 55% of retail traders opening shorts lost money—whipsawing isn't targeting you; you're just rushing to give away your money. What you think is a shakeout is actually large funds waiting and watching. And then you say, with such a long consolidation, if it's not a shakeout, what is it? Let me tell you, those big players holding thousands of ETH haven't moved in three days, and exchange funds haven't really entered—these big funds are waiting for the ETH ETF approval result. When Bitcoin ETF was about to be approved, the pattern was exactly the same: consolidation, no one moves, everyone is waiting, no one wants to bet early and risk losing dozens of points. What you think is a shakeout is actually big funds not daring to move; you're rushing in to be the cannon fodder. The bullish and bearish signals you see are all weak, fake signals that can't be weaker. That's also the core message I want to convey today: those bullish and bearish signals you see are completely useless. Look at this chart of signal strength: Figure 3 The 4-hour bearish signal is only 38.9%, less than 4 out of 10 times it will succeed; the daily bullish signal is only 49.1%, less than half! As traders, we need at least 60% strength to act; if you enter now, you're not trading—you're just gambling on size! The golden cross divergence you see, all those things, everyone can see them; the small profit you're chasing isn't enough to cover slippage. The core issue now isn't the direction; it's whether the signals are strong enough. Key price levels: Figure 4 This is the current ETH price, along with our key levels: Situation When to buy / sell How much drop / rise to exit How high / low it can go ETF approved, signals strong Near 2320 Light position buy If it drops to 2209, exit It can rise to 2683 ETF not approved, signals weak Below 2280 Short sell If it rises to 2359, exit It can drop to 2231

Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy and Market Analysis as of 4.25 Bitcoin/Ethereum have been consolidating with sideways fluctuations recently, with poor continuation of bullish or bearish momentum. Bitcoin is slightly stronger but also continuously pulling back. The 4-hour timeframe shows recent narrow-range oscillations, with small candlestick bodies, indicating the market is in consolidation or hesitation. The daily chart also reflects typical corrections after sharp rises or falls. Currently, the price is consolidating near the lows of the recent decline. On technical indicators, the 4-hour chart's DIF and DEA lines are both below the zero line, with DIF below DEA, and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating a current bearish trend. The negative MACD histogram is converging, possibly signaling weakening bearish momentum. Looking at the 4-hour and daily moving averages, all are beginning to turn downward. Resistance is evident around 78,000 and 2,330 to 2,340 in the short term, but there is also some support below. It depends on whether the price can continue upward and break through and stabilize at these levels; otherwise, it is likely to form a retracement pattern during a rally, with further downside potential. Bitcoin has ended several days of consecutive gains and is now pulling back with a decline, closing in red. However, without any news catalysts over the weekend, patience is advised. Trading Suggestions: Short near 77,700 to 78,000 for Bitcoin, with targets around 75,000 to 76,000; short near 2,320 to 2,340 for Ethereum, with targets around 2,230 to 2,260. #WCTC交易王PK #加密市场行情震荡 #rsETH攻击事件后续进展